EEZ point estimates warmer in 2025 than the 1971–2000 sea-surface baseline
The exception became the pattern
Annual anomalies swing with natural variability. The longer record is what matters: the regional mean has moved from years mostly below the historic reference to years consistently above it.
Sea-surface temperature anomaly
Unweighted mean across 21 Pacific EEZ series, °C versus 1971–2000
Warming arrives unevenly.
It does not arrive alone.
Each row is one EEZ. Each cell is one year. Blues sit below the 1971–2000 reference; oranges sit above it. The right edge shows how a once-mixed field has become uniformly warm in the latest observation.
By 2023, every reported point estimate was above its sea-level baseline
Satellite-altimetry anomalies are measured against a different reference period: 1993–2012. Across the same 21 EEZs, the unweighted mean was 10.5 cm above that baseline in 2023.
Sea-level anomaly
Unweighted mean across 21 Pacific EEZ series, centimetres versus 1993–2012
Choose an EEZ
The regional result is not a substitute for place. Select a series to compare its path with the 21-EEZ mean.
Sea-surface temperature
°C versus 1971–2000
Sea level
Centimetres versus 1993–2012
A shared physical signal is not a shared level of risk.
Exposure, infrastructure, livelihoods, ecosystems and adaptation capacity turn these physical changes into very different lived realities. This visualisation shows that the ocean signal is widespread. It does not rank communities or prescribe their response.
Sources & method
Original visualisation created for the Pacific Dataviz Challenge 2026. Data were retrieved through the Pacific Data Hub’s public SDMX API and embedded for reproducibility. Checksums and the processed dataset are published with the visualisation. Headline counts use the latest reported point estimates; source uncertainty values are not plotted.